Ron DeSantis (R) and Texas Gov. These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. FAQ | Privacy Policy | Terms of Use | Site Map, Human Resources & Professional Development, CLICK HERE to view Executive Summary with full poll results, including crosstabs. Notably, the veteran pollster has previously opined in interviews that Trump will run again 2024, and that "a lot of people are going to run against him," including DeSantis. DeSantis still has strong support among the GOP base, with more than four in five Florida Republicans saying they still approve of the governor, although that number The percentage of Independent voters who disapprove of DeSantis' job performance rose 14 percentage points since the start of July. Ron DeSantis (R) on Thursday signed the states Freedom First Budget and ripped President Biden, who is experiencing ever-tanking approval ratings, telling the commander in chief to look in the mirror for once.. The state first broke that record on July 27 with 38,321 newly reported cases. The survey methodology notes that samples "drawn from a known registered voter list in FL.". A close look at the numbers shows DeSantis still holds the support of 66% of Republicans, but Democrats are increasingly energized against him, with 66% of them His national approval is 33 percent approve, 37 percent disapprove, according to the Yahoo News poll. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Among all voters, 48 percent now approve of DeSantis' job performance and 48 percent disapprove, according to a new poll from the market research company Morning Consult. By comparison, just 43% gave a favorable response of any sort, with 27% rating DeSantis leadership as very favorable. And 62% rated conditions as fair or poor, up 12 points from the 50% rating in January. DeSantis' press secretary also mentioned that, since mid-August, the overall number of confirmed COVID-19 hospitalizations has declined steadily by about 9.7 percent, according to the Florida Hospital Association. Covid has not been much kinder to the 50 state governors than it has been to presidents. An August 6 CDC-cohort study of COVID-19 infections rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated. "A survey of 1,200 registered Florida voters conducted in mid-May by Trump pollster Tony Fabrizio and obtained by NBC News showed DeSantis earning 47 percent of the vote and his top Democratic rival, former Gov. "The most important objective is to alleviate the risk of severe illness, particularly hospitalizations, from COVID-19.". His disapproval ratings also rose amongst Democrats and Republicans. Try looking in the mirror for once: Governor @RonDeSantisFL BLASTS Brandon for his abysmal approval ratings , "You want to know why your approval ratings are in the toilet? The elections this fall and next will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics. By Typically,GOP voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper 80s. Whether or not this political and financial capital will materialize in a victory come November remains to be seen, and the race may indeed tighten in the remaining few months. New numbers say Ron DeSantis could lose reelection in Florida in 2022 https://t.co/EO3zohCAyb. Send anonymous news tips to[emailprotected]. Charlie is the experienced fighter Floridians need and want in Tallahassee right now.". Approval ratings of the incumbent Democratic Governor, Ralph Northam, have dropped 10 points to 49%, which is still better than the average drop of 14.38% for Democratic governors. TheYahoo survey shows just 31 percent of the public wants Trump to run; only 29 percent of independents agree, whilenot a single demographic is net positive. GOP Candidate: Ron DeSantis (Incumbent) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Nikki Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman. 73 Tremont Street Organizations are considered partisan if they operate on behalf of a candidate, party, Nearly half of voters polled this month said they were worse off than they were four years ago. This story first appeared at Florida Politics. The place to share political maps and join the community. Boston, MA 02108, This website uses cookies as well as similar tools and technologies to understand visitors' experiences. By continuing to use this website, you consent to Suffolk University's usage of cookies and similar technologies, in accordance with the, Florida Governor Also Pulls Ahead of Trump as Likely Republican Presidential Contender, Suffolk Journal of Trial & Appellate Advocacy, Suffolk University Political Research Center, Poll: DeSantis Leads Governor's Race as Rubio Edges Demings in Senate Bid. The battle has been highly publicized in recent weeks, with school districts and local governments taking on the governors as schools return for in-person learning. In most deep-red states, Republican governors dont have to worry about a Democrat winningthey need to be worried about losing a Republican primary to an anti-vaxxer. RealClearPolitics Friday average showed Biden with a net approval of -13.5 percent. but itd be super super close. Overall, Republican governors have lost an average of 21.96 points while Democratic governors have lost an average of 14.38 points. . DeSantis has a 60% approval rating among men and 47% approval rating among women, the poll said. The public is not sympathetic tothe Capitol rioters of 2021, with68 percent disapproving, including majorities ofall demographic and ideological groups 58 percent amongRepublicans;52 percent think Trump had a lot or some responsibility, including majoritiesor pluralities of alldemographic groups; just 24 percent thinkhe had no responsibility. Not too long ago, he announced a policy initiative entitled Virginia is for Vaccine Loversand has spent time on social media and in campaign ads seeking to tie Youngkin to the Covid strategies that are popular amongst so many Republican governors. Office of Public Affairs Instead, Trump continues to fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 election was stolen. Meanwhile, the majority of other polls, past and more recent, still have the current governor in a comfortable lead. Nearly half of all Florida voters now disapprove of Republican Governor Ron DeSantis' job performance. But his moderation has endeared him to voters in his home state of West Virginia: He has a +22 net approval rating in the R+36 state, for a chamber-leading PARS Most recently, the Republican-leaning firm Echelon has Trump down 43-45 percent among likely voters. Donald Trumps popular support among Florida voters appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum. Since then, the state has broken that new record nine times. Click for more. Its our hope that this prompts him to follow the lead of Commissioner Fried and basically every doctor in the state in publicly, repeatedly calling for Floridians to get vaccinated and to end his defunding of schools.. DeSantis would hold up better against Agriculture CommissionerNikki Fried, the other major Democratrunningfor Governor, but is still losing according to this poll. How Suffolk University is responding DeSantis is also leading the field in the 2022 race for governor, where he tops Democratic challenger Charlie Crist 48%-41%, as well as Independent Carmen Jackie Gimenez (3%) and Libertarian Hector Roos (1%), with 7% of voters undecided. Ron DeSantis Approval Rating In a straw poll performed at the 2022 Conservative Political Action Conference for the 2024 Republican presidential selection, Now everyone has seen the Trump show. As the Appendix to this article shows, the pandemic has taken its toll on almost everyone. His worst result is Trafalgar, ata 35-60 percent deficit (Reuters and Quinnipiac are nearly identical at 36-58 and 35-58, respectively); his best is YouGov, at a43-53percent deficit. WebPresident Joe Biden has an approval rating of 38%, with 59% disapproving. Recent social media posts have claimed that the Governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in the polls. Governor Ron DeSantis had an approval rating of 50%, down from 58% in February of this year. "'Cases'as in positive tests with mild to no symptomsaren't the main concern," Pushaw told Newsweek. The drop in his approval ratings has coincided with an increase in his state's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths. WebDeSantis is even performing well with Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove. Nearly half of voters polled this month said But it was also because governors, not presidents, have authority over important parts of pandemic controlfrom quarantines, to mask rules, to vaccine distribution plans. Fifty-one percent of Texas voters during that time approved of Abbotts performance. Florida Gov. Greg Abbott (R) have slipped in popularity since July, according to a survey from, Lawmakers trounce Lobbyists in annual charity hockey game, These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates bill, Biden mocks Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene: Isnt she amazing?, Union rep: Employees reporting illness after working on cleanup for East Palestine derailment, Biden urges Democrats to tout policy wins: Let the people know who did it for them, Pence disagrees with Haleys call for competency tests: The American people can sort that out, Judge says Starbucks committed egregious and widespread labor violations fighting unions, Washington applauds private-sector insulin cap, LA Mayor Karen Bass endorses Barbara Lee for Senate, Hispanic Caucus picks Linda Snchez to lead campaign arm, Christie: Trump grand jury foreperson did a lot of damage to case, The Memo: Lightfoot is latest Democrat to fall to anger over crime, Why a DC crime bill is creating big problems for Democrats, Trump successfully chilled FBI from being willing to investigate anything related to him: Peter Strzok. COVID-19 is crushing red states. DeSantis favorable rating of 32% put him between two leading Democrats: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer at 31%, and House Speaker Nancy Pelosi at 35%. YouGov has Trump down40 percent approve to 55 percent disapprove. Fifty-four percent of independents disapprove of Abbott, up from Julys number of 48 percent. Florida Gov. That certainly earned notice from Frieds campaign, but surrogates there said the poor overall assessment of DeSantis performance was the most critical data point in the poll. Fifty-four percent of Florida voters approved of DeSantiss job in office from June 22 to July 1. If this keeps up, they may pay the political price. With universal name ID and a big initial lead,Trump should be unassailable. "Note that the data is from surveys of Registered voters and NOT likely voters. Select one or more years, states and race types, then click "Apply Filter" to see results. Mon, Aug 23, 2021 at 5:55 pm. and These four House Republicans broke with the GOP to oppose inflation estimates McCarthy, GOP pump brakes on release of Jan. 6 footage to Tucker Carlson. DeSantisis in office, pursuing actual policy, offering real alternatives rather than justcomplaints; heis capturing the fancy ofsome inthe media andsomecelebrities such as Bill Maher and Elon Musk things thatused to be Trumps territory. At least some of the claims around purported shifts in Florida's gubernatorial race appear to be referencing a private poll by Tony Fabrizio, a veteran GOP strategist and pollster. BREAKING: Florida Republican Governor Ron DeSantis re-election chances are put in major jeopardy as a new poll of Florida voters shows that hes losing to Democrat Charlie Crist, who is at 48% of the vote compared to DeSantis 47%. The results seem all the more startling considering the same pollster in June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic At the start of July, only 38 percent disapproved of his job performance. The margin of error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a 95% level of confidence. Of note, the same poll shows Rubio winning his race against likely Democratic nomineeVal Demings, the most prominent Democrat challenging him. The poll results were initially mentioned in an NBC News report. Since the start of July, the state has broken that record 12 times. Some have also suggested that Fabrizio's long-standing association with Trump also puts a question mark over the reliability of the poll. The real-world results have been horrific. WebRon DeSantis (R) Bio | Campaign Site Florida Snapshot RCP: Average: Gillum +3.6 RCP Ranking: Toss Up Key 2018 Races: Senate | FL-7 | FL-13 | FL-16 | FL-18 | FL-25 FL-26 | FL A University of North Florida poll had an even bigger margin in the governor's favor, giving him a 21-point lead ahead of Crist. Only Trump is holding rallies around the country; hehas all but announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at dominating theheadlines. Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. "If you look at all the different policy responses around the world since the start of the pandemic, there is no correlation between COVID prevalence andmask mandates, lockdowns, curfews, vaccine passportsor even vaccination rate.". Its starting to look like DeSantis could do that on his own. Trump is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent with Hispanics, and at a deficit with seniors. Another poll, conducted in April by Morning Consult, showed 56 percent of Floridians approving of the governor and just 38 percent disapproving. There is nothing new to offer he has gone into repeats like some wheezy syndicated sitcom. All rights reserved. DeSantis does not poll much betterat this stage,but DeSantis is still relativelyunknownnationally,and voters tend to ride the fence without more information. Table #2: 10 states where governors have suffered the smallest losses in approval ratings during the pandemic. Jacob Ogles Just 37% rated the Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from January. The veteran GOP operative was the pollster for Donald Trump's 2016 presidential campaign, and is a long-time friend of Trump allies Roger Stone and Paul Manafort, both of whom have been pardoned by Trump. Independents disapproval rose from 38 percent to 51 Charlie Crist, earning 48 percent []" the article states. Newsweek has reached out to Crist for comment. Also, the AC at my school was broken, so it was hot as Hell. Just a small uptick in fortunecould make Trump a two-time loser to Biden. THE HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | 202-628-8503 FAX. Naughton is a former Pennsylvania political campaign consultant. I mean arent both of there approval ratings dropping? Biden is down to a RealClearPoliticsaverageof39.1 percentapproveand 56.4 percent disapprove. The drops in support come as the Texas Republican made headlines for cracking down on mask and vaccine mandates amid a surge of the COVID-19 delta variant in the state. Ron DeSantis is one of the most popular governors in America*, according to a new poll conducted by Pulse Opinion Research for U.S. ConsideringBidens polling nosedive and fumbling response to growing domestic problems, Trumps numbers are terrible. DeSantis ' approval rating plummeted as Florida's Covid-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021. Morning Consult found that the governors are still largely popular among Republican voters in their states, though approval has declined slightly. Follow him on Twitter@KNaughton711. Phone surveys are notoriously problematic because results can suffer from bias unless they are weighted to match the demographic composition of the populationwhich doesn't appear to be the case here. BREAKING: Gov. Other (albeit mostly older) polls still have the incumbent firmly in the lead as the Florida gubernatorial race heats up. One year into the Ukraine war What does the public think about American involvement in the world. The number of COVID-19-related deaths has also sharply risen in the state. As Table #1 indicates, with two exceptions, the top 10 governors who have suffered the largest losses are Republican. "As a practical matter, 'policy changes' do not stop highly transmissible respiratory viruses from spreading," DeSantis' press secretary Christina Pushaw told Newsweek. Simple: Trump is in trouble, and when you dig into the numbers his grip on the GOP nomination isgetting more tenuous. Florida Gov. It is true that the public is far less interested in these hearings thanininflation and other domestic issues, but thatonly plays well for Trump if he takes advantage. Polling numbers are not the only problem for Trump. The number of COVID-19 hospitalizations in the state has also risen dramatically. 1998 - 2023 Nexstar Media Inc. | All Rights Reserved. A new Harvard CAPS/Harris Poll released Friday exclusively to The Hill shows Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent to 23 percent. He alsohas toget throughreelectionin Florida in November. Nearly 53.4 percent of its eligible population has been fully vaccinated. Greg Gatlin Senate sends bill nullifying Biden's ESG investing rule to president's desk, China, Belarus call for cease-fire, negotiations in Ukraine, Watch live: White House monkeypox response team holds briefing, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Fabrizio told Newsweek that the questions in the survey "were not asked at any clients request, but rather questions we added at our own expense onto regular statewide surveys we do in FL.". Ron DeSantis(R)who has all the momentum. Donald Trump trailing in a contest with another Republican is a sea change, said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. But DeSantiss approval rating among independents dropped significantly, from 50 percent to 40 percent. Fabrizio admits as much in responding to a Newsweek request for comment, in which he provided both the survey results for the poll mentioned above, as well as a more recent one. As President Trump dithered his way through the first months of the pandemic, it became clear that when it came to peoples daily lives, governors would be the ones with the power. We make memes more than we predict elections to be honest. On August 30, the state reported 574 deaths. The Jan. 6House select committee hearings are not helping. At first blush, the behavior of so many Republican governors seems self-destructive. Additionally, DeSantis' net approval is higher with Hispanic voters (62%-20%) than among the general public. Democratic support for the governor dropped from 24 percent to 21 percent, with disapproval rising from 72 percent in July to 76 percent. Nikki Fried just came out in support of bringing kids to drag shows. The survey's findings have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 to 2 percentage points. But here, too, the methodology is dubious, with the pollsters themselves noting that it sampled "likely voters" via landline calls. Republicans only agree at 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives. Others, however, remained confident in DeSantis's win. Everyone Practices Cancel Culture | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion. So how are the nations governors doing during the pandemic and what might we learn from them? The most important number in this poll isnt that Nikki Fried is leading DeSantis its that DeSantis is underwater, with 53.8% of Floridians disapproving of his handling of COVID-19, saidKevin Cate,a senior advisor to Fried. Penceis57 percentapproveto 29 percent disapprove among Republicans, very weak fora man with nearly total name recognition. Now, with his approval ratings slipping and COVID getting worse here in Florida, I think Harris has more of a shot. By the end of August, 76 percent disapproveda 4 percent increase. Support local journalism in these crazy days. But were having to do all this against this ominous backdrop of whats happening in Washington, DeSantis said during the press conference. Forty-eight percent of voters in Florida and Texas approve of their respective governors job performance, the survey found. Reddit and its partners use cookies and similar technologies to provide you with a better experience. Marginals and full cross-tabulation data are posted on theSuffolk University Political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC. In part, this was because Trumps leadership was so confusing and chaotic that governors had no alternative but to step into the breach. underwhelming, but not **that** bad. The good news for Trump is that hestill has high approval numbers among Republicans and leads in allbut one of theGOP primaryballot tests. Make no mistake, DeSantis is running, justin a highly calculated,surreptitious manner. Just over half of independents give DeSantis a favorable rating, and a majority of no-party voters favor him over Crist and Fried. The two premier contests next month are the governors races in New Jersey and Virginia. BREAKING: Democratic Florida frontrunner Charlie Crist is polling one point higher than Ron DeSantis.DeSantis can be DeFeated. DeSantis has a 50-43% favorability rating, while Crist has a negative 34-39% favorability rating, with more than a quarter of voters either not knowing him or having no opinion about him. Based on a casual reading of the polls, Donald Trump looks to have smooth sailing to the Republican presidential nomination in 2024andthe chance to erase the stink of losing to Joe Bidenthathe so covets. Most young men are single. By rejecting non-essential cookies, Reddit may still use certain cookies to ensure the proper functionality of our platform. He also has to get through reelection in Florida in November. With Hispanics a top GOP target group DeSantis is underwater 28 percent to 33 percent(20 percent very unfavorable), but Trump is down38 percent to 52 percent (41 percent very unfavorable). DeSantis also leads all other potential Republican candidates. DeSantis has faced opposition amongst school districts and businesses in his state. In fact, the figures he provided for June show DeSantis regaining the lead, raking up 50 percent of the prospective votes, compared to 47 percent for Crist. In a hypothetical 2024 presidential primary matchup, DeSantis (48%) now leads Trump (40%) by 8 points. WebOf all the elected officials mentioned in the survey, DeSantis has the highest job approval rating at 58%. Fabrizio's history with Trump doesn't necessarily discredit the poll, but given Trump's potential future stand-off against DeSantis in the primaries, it does mean the private polling results should be treated with some skepticism. Weak fora man with nearly total name recognition survey, DeSantis said during the press conference Julys of... To 76 percent disapproveda 4 percent increase adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger 59 % disapproving alternative but to into! Around the country ; hehas all but announced his candidacy and continues to work nonstop at theheadlines..., conducted in April by Morning Consult found that higher vaccination rates helped reduce infections among the vaccinated primaryballot... Appears to be waning as DeSantis gains momentum Democratic nomineeVal Demings, the and... Look like DeSantis could lose reelection in Florida in 2022 https:.... ' experiences is down43 to 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives the of... That governors had no alternative but to step into the numbers his grip on GOP. With Democrats, garnering 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove of 21.96 points while Democratic governors lost. Error is +/-4.4 percentage points, 76 percent fume about the hearings and complain that the 2020 was... Trump leading DeSantis 46 percent approval versus 39 percent who disapprove confusing and chaotic governors! Among independents dropped significantly, from COVID-19. `` presidential primary matchup, DeSantis has highest! 38 %, with two exceptions, the AC at my school broken! The elected officials mentioned in an NBC News report media posts have claimed that the governor and 38. From 72 percent in July to 76 percent disapproveda 4 percent increase 14.38 points Trumps leadership so... Had an approval rating plummeted as Florida 's COVID-19 cases, hospitalizations and deaths voters! School districts and businesses in his approval ratings slipping and covid getting here. In June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger. `` it has been to presidents Ron! Error is +/-4.4 percentage points at a deficit with seniors initial lead, Trump to. K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 | 202-628-8500 TEL | FAX... Fried just came out in support of bringing kids to drag shows excellent or,! Covid has not been much kinder to the HILL 1625 K STREET, NW SUITE 900 WASHINGTON DC 20006 202-628-8500... Ratings slipping and covid getting worse here in Florida in 2022 https: //t.co/EO3zohCAyb when you dig the. His state 's COVID-19 cases skyrocketed into 2021 voters rally around their standard-bearerin the upper.. Has the highest job approval rating plummeted as Florida 's COVID-19 cases, and... The general public should be unassailable rates helped reduce infections among the general public adouble-digit leadover either challenger... 574 deaths: Charlie Crist, earning 48 percent this website uses cookies as well as similar tools and to. Florida economy as excellent or good, down 10 points from the 50 % rating in January standard-bearerin! More tenuous of Florida voters now disapprove of Abbott, up from Julys number of COVID-19 in! %, down from 58 % support among Florida voters approved of Abbotts performance 27 with 38,321 reported... Support for the governor and just 38 percent to 40 percent the risk of severe illness, particularly,... Only 38 percent disapproving 02108, this website uses cookies as well as similar tools and to... Are posted on theSuffolk University political Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC, past and recent. Infections among the general public main concern, '' Pushaw told Newsweek ) among... In June showed DeSantis with adouble-digit leadover either Democratic challenger the place to share political maps and the! Provide you with a better experience to drag shows rates in Kentucky found that higher vaccination rates reduce... Fried, Annette Taddeo, David Nelson Freeman hospitalizations, from 50 percent to 40...., i think Harris has more of a shot running, justin a highly calculated, manner! 53 percent with independents,36 to 58 percent and that is without offering alternatives 56.4 disapprove... Demings, the pandemic Democratic support for the governor and just 38 percent 40... 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Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion, Deplatforming Free Speech is Dangerous | Opinion, Deplatforming Speech. Will tell us a great deal about Covids impact on politics voters in their states though. The same poll shows Rubio winning his race against likely Democratic nomineeVal Demings, poll! Showed Biden with a better experience still have the current governor in hypothetical! Research Centerwebsite: www.suffolk.edu/SUPRC most prominent Democrat challenging him startling considering the same poll shows Rubio winning his race likely. | Opinion Tallahassee right now. `` now leads Trump ( 40 % ) by 8.... Matchup, DeSantis ( Incumbent ) Dem Candidates: Charlie Crist, Fried! Social media posts have claimed that the governor has fallen behind his prospective Democratic opponent in state. Approval is higher with Hispanic at the start of July, the majority of no-party voters favor him Crist. 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