The seat was first won in 1949 by Liberal candidate Donald Cameron. J Hogg from 1998 to 2000. The pandemic and its effect on Blair might feed back into the overall disillusionment in job-security and prospects. It extends along the Ipswich Motorway from Darra to Redbank. Across Queensland, Labor candidates retained seats in Blair, Lilley, Moreton, Oxley and Rankin, all in the south-east corner. Ripoll was succeeded by Labors Milton Dick, and Dick won a second term in 2019. Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}273632S 1525559E / 27.609S 152.933E / -27.609; 152.933, This article is about the current federal electorate. Click here for a list only including challengers to incumbents. Those that entered retirement and were now well off, were generally no longer animated by issues of job-security or industrial relations, but instead became fixated on their retirement, investment portfolio and inheritance. Mr Green's campaign Facebook page and website have been taken down. Are you okay with that Ben? Learn how to enable Javascript in your browser. Facebook; Twitter; Senator Matt Canavan. Javascript recommended: FEC.gov uses Javascript to provide the best possible user experience. NSW 2023 where preferences have flowed over time, Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics, NSW 2023 rising preference flows deciding the upper house. Booths in the City of Ipswich have been grouped as South-West. Following the 2020 Census, some states may redraw their districts. This was a marginal seat at a very bad election in qld. You cant really compare it to the Hanson era seat. There are a few factors bludgeoning this Labor vote in Blair (and similar QLD divisions) from all different directions. The WA and QLD L/NP parties are also not cutting through (as opposed to 2019) and the only seats which are definitely safe are seats like Cook, Kennedy and Clark, where the local member is so entrenched they wont lose until they retire, resign or die. The composition of industry and employment is becoming more diverse including more independent trades people, as well as white-collar workers who commute into the city and now might also have the affordance to work-from home. All the declared nominees have been invited to come along to this event to provide a brief overview of themselves and why you should vote for them. Labor really needs people like Shayne to help rebuild in QLD after going BACKWARDS a seat. House of Representatives Washington, DC 20463. Mum Camerons being a dick (head) again !. But just not overwhelminly. The LNP already hold most of the seats in QLD and apart from Blair, the only other Labor seats are the Brisbane multicultural seats where Dutton would be really toxic. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app. . They will always take you down !. Her hopes fell short at the 1998 election, where One Nation only managed to elect a single Senator, despite a national result of over 8%. WOW!!. Under 2012 state figures not a single seat would have been won federally for Labor with maybe the exception of Griffith (which will fall). It is shocking, even insulting, that you would accuse me of derision ?. Comparing the validity of O.S. This election was held using instant-runoff voting . Seat-by-seat guide to the 2022 federal election FEDERAL ELECTION 2022. Join us for an opportunity to get to know the candidates for the 2022 Federal Election for our Blair and Oxley electorates. Labor needs to make inroads in outer suburbs of Brisbane and the inner regions of Queensland because there really is not much territory else where to go. Couple that with LNP base vote strengthening in more blue collar seats (bigger margins in Forde, Petrie Lindsey and becoming competitive in Blair, Fowler, Werriwa, Lilley) you can see why they might see a long term opportunity in Oxley. Although as the pandemic fades into a lot of peoples rear-vision mirror, this Labor shine is also starting to fade. Oxley had a long history of being held by the Labor Party but was lost to disendorsed Liberal candidate Pauline Hanson in 1996. 2022 Federal Election Candidates Forum - Oxley | Centenary Chamber Join us as we hear from all the local candidates in the running to be the Federal Member for Oxley at this year's election. Charlotte McCabe Candidate for Newcastle. District maps on this page are approximate. Independent Oxley (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. Make child care cheaper so that it's easier for working families to get ahead. These new young families increasingly outnumber the traditional blue-collar voters of Blair, and likely bring with them different attitudes and voting intentions than its long term residents. The LNP are clearly dominant in Queensland at a federal level and theres obviously a perception, particularly in regional areas, that they can at least get good deals out of their Liberal partners. Industries: Railway workshops, industrial, light industrial and commercial activities. You have entered an incorrect email address! Peter Dutton, as the OL, might be good for sandbagging LNP seats in QLD as hes a local and a conservative. The Most Interesting Articles, Mysteries and Discoveries. Assessment Blair is a very marginal seat but the current margin is a low point for Labor since the major redistribution redrew the seat in 2006. I doubt theyd lose seats to the UAP/PHON anyway. INEC Election Results So Far - INEC Presidential Election Results 2023 so far. Won Congressional races across the country. Come along and support our LNP Candidate for Oxley as we launch the Oxley campaign. The date change was necessitated by court order. Booth results map Activate. Oxley is reasonably safe for Labor. Wednesday, May 4, 2022 (5:30 PM - 8:00 PM), All-in-one CRM Software for Growing Communities, https://stfbridalhairandmakeup.simdif.com/. Is that so? Geography Organiser of the Australian Labor Party State Branch (Qld.) There will be a swing to Labor here so this seat will not be in contention. AUSTRALIA: AGE DISTRIBUTION . This contrasts with the pre Whitlam era where the great bulk of ethnic Chines voters were supporters of Taiwan. Candidates. Second, its telling how the PM has chosen to spend the early days of the campaign on the offensive in Parramatta, McEwen, Greenway, Dunkley, Dobell etc. Dont assume 2019 was a high watermark for the LNP. QLD is a no mans land for Labor federally. The latest 2022 Australian Federal Election results, live tracker, news headlines, updates and analysis from The Sydney Morning Herald . Authorised by Clive Palmer. Amazing that Labor can afford to have total wastes of space in their few safe seats in QLD. Develop Share sensitive information only on official, secure websites. Huge difference, at least those leaders actually inspired people. Disorder can be creative, & order can become uninteresting. Additionally the PHON vote will be smaller and a good share will go to the ALP. Do i fucking sound like a HACK ? There is still space to grow here, Labor can easily pick up Deakin and Monash. It is currently represented by Milton Dick , the current Speaker of the House of Representatives, Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. Federal politicians were understandably peeved last week when they learnt via text that Queensland Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk had banned them from returning home until September 8. The two main industries that Ipswich was traditionally centered around was energy (think coal power-stations powering SE QLD), and transport, specifically rail (which transported coal among other things). Federal Electorate: OXLEY Member: Milton DICK Party represented at the last federal election: ALP More information about the electorate of Oxley The following results were found for your search. Conversely Malcolm, while you cant see any likely scenario where Labor loses Blair, I believe that it is perhaps LNPs best chance at an LNP gain in QLD. Recent polling indicates that a Teal candidate in Oxley will start the campaign only slightly behind the newly announced National candidate. Our 2022 Victories. Worsteling was the Greens candidate for Mount Ommaney in the 2020 Queensland state election. The race on election night will between Labor and the Greens to see who comes second and will be the beneficiary of the other's preferences. This dent could have been a write-off if Job Keeper was not introduced. The way St. Gladyss is going, Reid might be looking in trouble. While Queensland fared exceedingly well throughout the pandemic and managed to keep the majority of its workforce running by keeping the virus out of the state, it still made a dent in the economy (albeit, it could have been a lot worse with a stricken community, rolling shutdowns and overwhelmed health system). This seat overlaps with Palaszczuks state seat and while the history of state to federal jumps isnt great, that might be their best option. I still defend my predictions and yes I still think this is in play. Seriously what is your problem (s) ? @ Ben, tell me what seats in Qld the Coalition will be picking up? History . The seat of Oxley was created as part of the expansion of the House of Representatives at the 1949 election. Our Candidates. Updated: 21 April 2022 The AEC publishes enrolment statistics on a regular basis to show the number of Australians enrolled nationally, and by state/territory and division. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[1]. No contest. Theres supposed to be multiple electorate constituencies. the coalition are winning 90+ seats they might come close to 100. In Queensland in this election, there were two "turn-overs"the Australian Greens took two seats where the Greens candidate was not leading in the first count. It was 8 points wrong, So if we apply the same 8 point error to the current polls you get 61-39. Named in honour of John Joseph Oxley, 1784-1828, considered to be one of the greatest explorers and early pioneers of Southern Queensland. Campaign hub Key dates Saturday 21 May Counting of votes Friday 3 June Last day for receipt of declaration votes Tuesday 28 June Return of writs Sunday 10 April . Chris Green's campaign was due to be launched on Sunday by Liberal frontbencher Amanda Stoker on Sunday. Interested in exploring whether you might be our candidate. Labor would have an easier time gaining the seats that they nearly won last time like Deakin, Menzies, and Sturt. Whether these deals actually serve the nation more broadly is another thing. Nobody believes me but we shall see! LNP pouring resources here. Officeholders. Across the country voting patterns confirm that people want their MP to represent the community rather than the big parties. Customer Service Representative, Daycare Teacher, Community Service Officer and more on Indeed.com Found this interesting; repealing Sarbanes-Oxley, SOX, is on the official party platform for TX Republicans . House of Representatives Standing: Tax and Revenue served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2019; Procedure served from 10.10.2016 to 11.4.2022; Health, Aged Care and Sport served from 22.7.2019 to 11.4.2022; Appropriations and Administration served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present; Selection served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present, Joint Select: Royal Commission into Institutional Responses to Child Sexual Abuse served from 7.12.2017 to 2.4.2019; Implementation of the National Redress Scheme served from 24.10.2019 to 11.4.2022, Joint Standing: Electoral Matters served from 15.9.2016 to 11.4.2022, Joint Statutory: Broadcasting of Parliamentary Proceedings served as Chair from 26.7.2022 to present. Enter your details, then select 'Find' to display your results. Maybe there should be a thread just for general election soothsaying. Booths in Somerset local government area have been grouped together. First Name Last Name Email Mobile phone (optional) Send me email updates Send me text messages How many other people are you bringing? 255 Forest Lake Boulevard Queensland residents must home-quarantine for 14 days and can leave for only a limited number of essential reasons (such as seeking medical assistance or escaping harm).. David Alan Booth Oxley 2023 State General Election 31/08/2022 Unregistered 23/02/2023 . You can pour as much shit as you like on my politics, but accusing of being ordinary, or in some way mundane is just too much too bear. You do realise 1996 and 1975 were landslide defeats of a ALP federal government, dont you Daniel? Unfortunately for him, there are almost no marginal Labor seats available in QLD. The 19.3% swing she achieved was the largest at the 1996 election and took Oxley out of Labor's fold. D Beddall MP from 1993 to 1998. People were saying Labor had overachieved in Victoria before the election and look what happened. Some candidates may subsequently amend their registration forms to reflect new district numbers. Appreciate you sharing! Oxley covers the southwestern suburbs of the City of Brisbane and eastern parts of the City of Ipswich. Surely?. As the great sage Richo says Never hang onto a mug. Does anybody know when the last time Labor had 5 seats or less in QLD? Support James. Labor is visionless and uninspiring as of 2021, compare Albo to Kevin 07 and Obama 08. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. New district numbers Oxley and Rankin, all in the 2020 Census, some states may their... Deakin and Monash is visionless and uninspiring as of 2021, compare Albo to Kevin 07 and 08! Assume 2019 was a marginal seat at a very bad election in QLD the Coalition will be and! 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