Labor will emphatically opposite it. Considering that, I still think Labor are the best position to win and probably will. As you say FL, the main thing working against Steph HM here is actually just the complete obliteration of the Liberals most likely making this a Labor v Greens count. Liberal vote recovered in parts of Caulfield which isnt good news for Labor holding onto Macnamara at the next election. Hodgins-May was the Green candidate for Ballarat at the 2013 federal election and came close to victory contesting Melbourne Ports at the 2016 election but did not poll as strongly in 2019. Unlock unlimited digital access to floridatoday.com Click here and subscribe today. Another phenomenal result for the Greens. Trent had already calculated the breakdown of the primary vote for Albert Park based on the May federal results. Cruise seasons usually run from spring to autumn and Station Pier is closed to the public when cruise ships are berthed. As shown by the plot of first preference vote, the Greens have replaced Labor as the major left party in the electorate of Melbourne. Dec Prepolls are a similar situation. The electorate includes the Melbourne CBD, Docklands, North Melbourne, Carlton, Richmond, Princes Hill, Collingwood, Abbotsford, Fitzroy, Fitzroy North and part of Brunswick East. This change slightly reduced the Labor margin from 6.2% to 6.1%. She said the support she got from other teams was 'overwhelming. Macnamara has a large Jewish population, and Michael Danby often argued against giving the Greens preferences in Melbourne Ports because of Green support for Palestinian causes. I agree, PN. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Josh Burns retains Labor's grip on inner Melbourne seat. 1966 was the last time the Liberal PV was below 30% in Melbourne Ports / Macnamara. Previous Meet the Candidates events include: The 2022 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates was held on 3rd mat at the boyd community Hub. He has a background in tourism and understands the economic importance of protecting Australia's most important natural assets. Mauger was re-elected in 1903 but in 1906 moved to the new seat of Maribyrnong, which he held until his defeat in 1910. It also had a high proportion of atheists and agnostics, with 38.8% of residents answering "No Religion" in the 2016 census, compared to 30.1% nationwide. [ edit] Primary vote results in Melbourne (Parties that did not get 5% of the vote are omitted) Liberal Labor Australian Democrats Greens Reason Two-candidate-preferred results in Melbourne References [ edit] And silver medals can be distr oh wait. "With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out.. The only way that I cant see Labor winning here is if all the cards fall the right way for the Greens and that doesnt often happen. A successful businesswoman, Bernadene has been a resident for 20 years in the electorate of Macnamara. And Vice Mayor Julie Sanders faces Adam Woodworth in the District 6 race. City Hall topics in recent months have included proposed downtown mixed-use developments, ongoing development in the city's Eau Gallie area and lack of affordable housing, among other issues. Yesterday ABC only called Brisbane for Greens after the Labour candidate made a concession call to the Green candidate. What they care about is what matters to me. Departures - add 3.5 hours to ETD. My prediction here is that the Greens will probably fall *just* short of knocking Labor out of second place, because just too much has to go right for them with such a small margin of error for it to happen. [3], Coordinates: .mw-parser-output .geo-default,.mw-parser-output .geo-dms,.mw-parser-output .geo-dec{display:inline}.mw-parser-output .geo-nondefault,.mw-parser-output .geo-multi-punct{display:none}.mw-parser-output .longitude,.mw-parser-output .latitude{white-space:nowrap}375122S 1445834E / 37.856S 144.976E / -37.856; 144.976, Electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports, "2016 Census QuickStats: Melbourne Ports", "Victoria gets new seat named after Malcolm Fraser, ACT gains one called Bean", "Profile of the electoral division of Macnamara (Vic)", Division of Melbourne Ports - Australian Electoral Commission, https://en.wikipedia.org/w/index.php?title=Division_of_Melbourne_Ports&oldid=1092465625, Retired after Melbourne Ports was abolished in 2019, This page was last edited on 10 June 2022, at 13:16. 0:36. Holding served in the Hawke ministry from 1983 until the 1990 election, and served as a backbencher until his retirement in 1998. He is a local President of the Finance Sector Union and is a former President of the 50,000-member Bicycle Network which advocates for more sustainable transport and safer riding. Either way this might be the last seat to be called because it wont even be mnown who the two-party count is between until a full distribution of preferences, and all 3 combinations are possible. Mandy Nolan Candidate for Richmond Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. If that happens, they win. This will be the last seat to be called I think. Josh Burns came first on primaries and he can thank the collapse in the Liberal vote. Im not saying that the Greens will win (I do think its close to 50/50 though), but youre wrong about two things: 1. Additionally, I made a promise to focus on jobs. Thoroughfares like Hotham and Glen Eira make better boundaries. That is a real possibility if they do well. Supporting the mayor's momentum of accountability by voting with the mayor for regular financial audits of city finances. Xem trc tuyn Green Gully Cavaliers U21 vs Port Melbourne Sharks SC U21 AUS VPL U21 11:00 11/03/2022 . East of Hotham, the Glen Eira part of St Kilda East is totally different and more similar to Caulfield North. On paper the final boundaries have minimal impact on Labor's margin, nudging it down a percentage from 6.2% to 4.9%. GRN 28,657. Question now is what becomes of the boundaries at the next election. I was thinking Mcnamara was a certain Labor retain at least on Election night but at this stage I think Greens would be favourites to win Mcnamara. Greens 31.50% 3. Following its extension eastwards to Caulfield and other Liberal-voting areas in the 1990 redistribution, it became much less secure for Labor. So it will be interesting to see what constructions they try to come up with. Theyare elected by citywide vote, serve four-year terms, andrepresentadistrict of the city. William Bowe actually says he thinks its trending Greens. Australia 2010 Australia 2013 Australia 2016 Australia 2019 Australia 2022 By-election Candidate numbers City of Brisbane Covid-19 Data . (My prediction is around 33.5% LIB, 33.3% ALP, 33.2% GRN). It is Brevard County's fourth-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay, Melbourne and Titusville. The logical approach to me at face value would be to consolidate the 4 Labor seats of Chisholm, Hotham, Isaacs and Bruce into 3, but Im sure they wont want to do that. The top issues in West Melbourne are the water quality, flooding and safety services. Macnamara covers the port and bayside suburbs of Melbourne south of the Yarra, as well as suburbs to the south-east beyond Punt Road between Dandenong and Glen Huntly Roads. Newspoll-You Gov actually picked up a bounce for the Greens over the last six days before E-Day, and that helps explain why late arriving postals in Macnamara appear to be breaking more to Green than Labour. Support for the Greens rose through the first decade of the twenty first century, polling 15.7% in 2001, 19.0% in 2004, 22.8% and finishing second after preferences in 2007, and 36.2% and achieving victory on Liberal preferences in 2010. Patreons analysis is on the money and there could actually be up to 6500 votes left if more postals are received (the last batch actually did break 26 LIB, 29 ALP, 33 GRN, 12 OTH which is enough to keep the Liberals ahead of Labor). It might be close but hard to see. he video of the event is the second of the three videos below. Get breaking news alerts directly to your phone with our app, Adam Bandt Greens Leader retains safe seat. The margin has been changed to 4.9% following the release of the Australian Electoral Commission's redistribution estimates. Melbourne Ports has become more middle class in recent years with accelerating inner-city gentrification and higher density housing developments. The retirement of Danby in 2019 had increased talk of the Greens winning the seat, but new Labor candidate Josh Burns increased his margin over the Greens and added 5% to the Labor two-party preferred margin. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Flooding concerns: With increased flooding during Saturday's deluge, Eau Gallie business owners blame Brightline, Seeking affordable housing site: Daily Bread drops plan to build affordable housing on Malabar Road; alternate locations sought. Macnamara was a medical researcher and doctor who discovered there was more than one type of the polio virus and worked extensively with children suffering from poliomyelitis, training doctors and physiotherapists in the management of the disease. Impact on port:With Port Commissioner Hattaway running for Florida House, . The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. Candidate Johnson said he planned on focusing on the citys continued upward trending growth. He has previously worked as a teacher's aide and a factory hand, and before the 2019 election was a Senior Adviser to the Premier of Victoria, Daniel Andrews. Macnamara covers the port of Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. He represented construction workers before the Cole Building Industry Royal Commission, represented unions and workers during the Ansett insolvency, and states that he was involved in prosecuting some of Australia's biggest clothing companies for breaches of laws designed to prevent the exploitation of outworkers. In 2018, the Australian Electoral Commission proposed renaming Melbourne Ports as Macnamara, after medical scientist Dame Jean Macnamara. Labour need only finish in final two run-off. Eg. 2019 Federal Election: A Meet the Candidates for the House of Representatives seat of Macnamara, formerly Melbourne Ports, . CruiseOps.Melbourne@iss-shipping.com. The votes in these categories already counted are favouring Greens by a good enough margin to close the gap between Labor and Greens on primary which makes it likely for Greens to overtake Labor on minor Party preferences at the 3pp stage. This service may include material from Agence France-Presse (AFP), APTN, Reuters, AAP, CNN and the BBC World Service which is copyright and cannot be reproduced. Fiscal responsibility: Ensure the citys strong finances by providing budgetary oversight and being fiscally conservative with taxpayer funds, especially with the recent rising costs. Essential, Roy Morgan and Resolve Strategic were all well within MoE, while Newspoll-You Gov and Ipsos were right on the edge of an acceptable MoE, some would say over for Labour. Berth locations and shipping agents' contact details, below. This must be a record for having the biggest difference between the primary vote and 2PP vote. Stephen Mayne was the moderator. Continue work on West Melbourne flooding issues. Her best hope now is that the Liberals smash Labor in the postal votes but thats unlikely. Weds, 16th November with Georgie Dragwidge (Indep), Elizabeth Antunovic (Freedom Party) and Cassandra Westwood (Animal Justice Party). Holloway had served as a junior minister in the Scullin government, and served in the Cabinet of John Curtin and Ben Chifley throughout the 1940s. The Greens would have got 32% in May but only got 20% of November. Its also worth noting Prahran covers a fair amount of Macnamara residents. For more information, see Booths have been divided into three areas: Port Melbourne, St Kilda and Caulfield. Sure, the 2CP run-off will be revealed upon the throw of all preferences. Attracting and retaining businesses, while improving our infrastructure to keep up with the growth. Four candidates are vying for three seats on the West Melbourne City Council in the Nov. 8 election, with a number of issues involving infrastructure on the table. Labor's results ranged from 41.1% at Caulfield Presbyterian Church to 78.3% at St Kilda Primary School where the Greens finished ahead of the Liberal Party on first preferences. Therefore, just say Libs are averaging 26% and Labor 29% on new batches, after minor preferences (others are currently averaging around 12%) they are basically getting around 30.5% each on 3PP terms, which means the Liberals lead isnt going away. Most of the candidates attended. Labor appeared to have picked up primary votes in both Brisbane and Macnamara just the greens picked up more, so not all negative for them Interestingly the preferences for non-green/lib/labor voters in those seats (mainly right-wing UAP,ON, LDP and smaller left-wing AJP) were split around 50% lib, 35% green and 15% alp so assume more UAP/ON/LDP voters preferenced greens over labor. Visiting Station Pierpage. She is a former planning and environmental lawyer, and has also worked as an advisor to the Australian Mission to the United Nations and as a volunteer lawyer at Environmental Justice Australia. 2. The Port of Melbourne's commitments on pricing and consultation responds to the ESC's review of the port's compliance with the official pricing order, under which tariffs can only be increased once a year, and by no more than the consumer price index. Growth will continue in West Melbourne. First Preference Results 1983-2019 On a primary vote basis, the three areas look very different. The electorate was created at the time of Australian Federation in 1901 and was one of the original 65 divisions contested at the first federal election. The Greens could very easily gain this seat if Albanese turns out to be a disappointment and if the looming redistribution removes Caulfield and adds South Yarra and Prahran. Six candidates are vying for three seats on the Melbourne City Council on the Nov. 8 ballot, with hopes of helping guide governmental operations of one of the Space Coast's dominant economic communities. Holloway was secretary of the Melbourne Trades Hall Council, who had stood against Bruce in protest at the government's arbitration policies. The electorate covers 40 square kilometres. Continue with the septic-to-sewer program helping residents who voluntarily want to discontinue septic and connect to sewer at a reduced cost. No way Labor comes 3rd. (Click on polling place for results). Dr Richard Peppard is a senior neurologist at St Vincent's Hospital and works in private practice in East Melbourne and in regional Victoria. In the past 13 years, extensive betterments for residents experiencing flooding have been successful. Mathews held Melbourne Ports for a quarter of a century, retiring in 1931. Live scores Keep across all the live scores and results from the Australian Open at Melbourne Park Melbourne - Federal Election 2022 Share 86.9 % turnout, final figures GRN retain Adam Bandt elected 12.4% swing from GRN Preference count Labor Party Keir Paterson 39.8% 38,456 Greens Adam Bandt MP 60.2% 58,050 50% Steph Hodgins-May Candidate for Macnamara (prev. That is what is putting the greens in contention in both seats. Lots of renters and young people. Cruise ship schedule 2022-23. Burns previously worked as Chief of Staff for the MP he succeeded in 2019, Michael Danby. Crean quickly rose through the Labor ranks and was effectively the Shadow Treasurer from the mid-1950s until the election of the Whitlam government in 1972. . The three council members who win in the general election will have a four-year term and will have a salary of$10,320 a year. The departure of Danby in 2019 saw a boost in Labor vote, though whether this was a coincidence with of consequence of Danby's departure is impossible to say. Issues such as these shouldnt be decided on emotions. Neighborhoods with flooding issues are already planned during 2023-24 budget year. It sounds as if Josh Burns doesnt want to win. Listing of Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Notices to Mariners for the current calendar year and those in force at 1 January of the current year. Inner south of Melbourne. Council members also comprise three of the seven members of the. Victorian Ports Corporation (Melbourne) Level 5, 530 Collins Street, Melbourne 3000. The only seat that is in-doubt in my mind is Gilmore which is likely to go Liberal. Therefore the Greens are rapidly catching up but are not doing so at the expense of the Liberals. Support local journalism. 3483 remaining and they are breaking 25.8% LIB, 27.9% ALP, 30.8% GRN and 15.6% Other. He won preselection against Simon Crean, son of Frank. This due to running a more centrist campaign including accepting climate targets, not running on African Gangs etc. Crean served as Treasurer for the first two years of the Whitlam government, but was pushed aside in late 1974 in the midst of difficult economic times, and moved to the Trade portfolio. Damches has a bachelor's degree in International Relations and worked in retail and fashion before working as a legal assistant. First Issue: Restoring the Indian River Lagoon. Assessment Macnamara has been under threat from the Liberal Party in the past, but its unlikely the Liberal Party could win in the current environment. The Greens initially profited from the demise of the Australian Democrats, but increases since have come at the expense of Labor. Before being won by Josh Burns in 2019, the electorate had been represented by only five members in 113 years. With more than 85,000 residents, Melbourne is Brevard County's second-most-populous city, behind Palm Bay. The exclusion of the Green then elected Michael Danby with 51.4% of the two-party preferred vote. The electorate includes the suburbs of Port Melbourne, South Melbourne, Middle Park, South Yarra, St Kilda, Balaclava, Elwood and parts of Elsternwick and Caulfield. In other seats the change did matter, Liberal preferences preventing Green victories in Batman and Wills. Thoughts on who wouldve won this seat based on the state election figures? Four incumbents Mayor Paul Alfrey,District 1 Council Member Tim Thomas,District 3 Council Member Yvonne Minus andDistrict 5 Council Member Mimi Hanley are not on the ballot this fall. The West Finger Pier is a good vantage point to view the ships. Incredibly close, basically meaning minor preference flows could eliminate any one of the 3, especially since 4 of the minors are right wing and Labor are likely to get the least minor preferences. Either way, the boost in Labor support at the expense of the Liberal Party in 2019 boosts Josh Burns' prospects of holding Macnamara in 2022 against both his political opponents. The video of the event is the second of the three videos below. But damn Id be nervous if I was them with the way each batch of votes has been breaking. Education: Bachelor's degree in business administration in management and another bachelor's degree in business administration accounting and finance. All the seats on the ABC website that are in-doubt will remain with the parties that currently lead them on the current counts. She went on to study education, undergraduate and post graduate studies at Institute of Catholic Education, and then completed a masters degree in education at Monash University. Contact Gallop at 321-917-4641 or jgallop@floridatoday.com. Venue: Assembly Hall,Boyd Community Hub, 207 City Rd Southbank. The Melbourne City Council includes a mayor, a vice mayor and five council members. It seems that the Greens overperformed federal results in Prahran and underperformed in Albert Park and Labor vice versa. I've heard lots of folks' concerns to everything ranging from stormwater runoff in the lagoon to age-friendly inclusion in the newly developed downtown areas. Basically around 0.4% (less than 400 votes) between first and third. [2] The new name was gazetted on 13 July 2018, and was first used at the 2019 federal election. The electorate of Melbourne is Victoria's smallest electorate at 40 square kilometres. These are the two issues that I plan to be talking about, Young said. Occupation: Full-time West Melbourne City Council member; previous mortgage underwriter for Chase Bank for nineyears; previous title agent for more than 20 years; previous finance manager for several auto dealerships. Greens overtaking Labor means Labor will finish 3rd. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. Macnamara is the new name adopted for the seat known since Federation as Melbourne Ports. Burns was the Labor candidate for Caulfield at the 2014 state election. First, the trend occurred first in Melbourne before it was followed in Batman, Wills, Melbourne Ports and Higgins. Liberal 33.67% (31,327) 2. What I care about is the community of people. This article displays an image of an official 2022 sample ballot from Florida. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. . Campaign Email: diana@dianaforcouncil.com, Campaign Facebook page: Facebook.com/DianaForWestMelbourne. They are incumbents Joyce Barton and Corey Runte, as well as . Continuing the gradual downwards trend in the Labor primary vote, in the 2013 election, Labor was returned with a primary vote of less than 32 percent. . Regional Victorian ports - follow this link. The other three members of the City Council Mayor Hal Rose, and Councilors Pat Bentley, Daniel McDow and Stephen Phrampus have terms that run until 2024. And; Will there be enough votes left for the Greens to close the gap on current rates? Daniel, Poll Bludger hasnt called the seat. Outreach and communication: Create channels of communication with residents and local businesses to understand and address concerns, engage residents in civic opportunities, and work together to proactively plan for our citys future. Harbour Master's Directions & Port Information Guide, Notices to Mariners & Operational Instructions. This may be due to Melbourne having a sitting Green MP in Adam Bandt, or be related to Labor pulling out of campaigning after disendorsing its candidate. That was the Green path to victory in the local state seat of Prahran at the last two state elections. The two occasions give all candidates a chance to explain their policies and properly address the questions asked by the moderators and audience members. Growth will continue in West Melbourne," Johnson said. Continue exploring need and feasibility of West Melbourne building a fire department. Should move up to Glen Eira Road regardless of whether that border will be with Macnamara as it currently is, or Higgins. ReD Being second to Labour merely guarantees a Labour win. Heres a summary of the current state of play. Hickey is a qualified primary school teacher, social worker, and family therapist. That the Liberals cant get into first place, because they are actually already on first place in the current 3CP count, AND on top of that, the current rates of absents, prepolls and the last batch of postals all have the Liberals outperforming Labor after minor preferences; 2. Mathews was succeeded in 1931 by Jack Holloway. @ Bingo i was not trying to make a political point but when i said Greens underperformed in Albert Park. The seven-member City Council will have three contested seats on the November general election ballot: Districts 2, 4 and 6. Second Issue: Economic development. The 2020 City of Melbourne Council elections. Bandt worked as an industrial and public interest lawyer for the decade before his election to Parliament in 2010. Being able to communicate answers to these folks with some type of clarity is where Im passionate. Authorised by the Electoral Commissioner, Canberra, Register of political parties and decisions, Torres Strait Regional Authority elections, A4 map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 785KB], Map of the Division of Melbourne Ports (2010) [PDF 13.4MB], 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Melbourne Ports, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. With the projected population expansion expected to be over 40,000, fire and safety services need to be controlled by the city, not contracted out. ALP 30,499 3. The moderator was Bernadene Voss, a two-term Councillor and three-time Mayor in the City of Port Phillip. Globally the pollsters, in 2022, have been consistently overestimating social democratic support and underestimating Green support. Michael Organ had previously won Cunningham for the Greens in 2002, but this was at a by-election. The LIB/ALP 2PP here will be Labors best since before Caulfield was in the seat and the Lib PV may be the lowest in 5-6 decades. Incumbent Mark LaRusso facesShawn Allred Middleton in the District 2 race. After attending Mount Scopus College, Josh graduated from Monash University with a Bachelor of Arts, majoring in Political Studies. This is a list of electoral results for the Division of Melbourne Ports in Australian federal elections from the division's creation in 1901 until its abolition in 2019. Paterson works in mental health and runs programs and interventions to make workplaces more psychologically safe and mentally healthy. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. Had the 2013 election's 66% flow of Liberal preferences to Labor occurred in 2010, then Adam Bandt would not have won Melbourne. This even includes the most recent batches of postal votes where the Greens outperformed Labor by 7% (after minor preferences).