Without any further delay, lets get to our Arnold Palmer Invitational picks, with afocus on longshots and sleepersfor your DFS lineups. American Express: Cameron Young. And be sure to subscribe to "The Loop" wherever you get your podcasts! Obviously, we still have the 90/1 Luke List winner to fall back on. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) Rorys strokes-gained numbers at Bay Hill are insanehes gained nearly 75 strokes to the field in his eight appearances here. 21+: TheLines.com and all content herein is intended for audiences 21 years and older. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. At the time, Fowler had long odds of +8000, which improved to +6600 before the start of the tournament on Thursday. CrazyTown, USA. Hes third in weighted SG/approach over the past year, fourth in wSG/off the tee and 11th in par-5 scoring, per RickRunGood.com (weighted strokes-gained numbers factors in field strength). Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. Now were getting a little bold. In a field as top-heavy as this one with so many elite options, a safe, high floor value player is going to be a must for DFS lineup construction purposes. The DFS price at $7,200 is more than fair, and projected ownership doesnt look to be over the top yet, so Im a full go on Steele at TPC Scottsdale. But we have our eyes on another former Masters champ as our long-shot bet to win. Recent history says a star will win this weekend, but that doesnt mean we cant take a look at three sleepers with a chance to pull an upset. Bermuda: Mark Hubbard. Skip to navigation. Now its Rorys turn. The MC at Riviera was mainly due to his short game. Mayo: Tom Kim (45-1, DraftKings) While hell likely be my pick to win next week, Kims odds have simply slipped too far for his upside this week. The 2014 FedEx Cup champion has long odds this week to the tune of +10000 to win. The list of top performers at the Arnold Palmer Invitational reads like a list of major champions and annual major contenders. Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. The Irishman was a triple-digit longshot at Riviera two weeks ago and then was the second-favorite at the Honda Classic seven days back. In Hahns case, hes a bit too volatile for me to want to wager a placement bet on, but Im optimistic about his boom potential as a DFS salary saver. Should he pull off a victory, he could turn a $10 bet into $550. The second leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs takes us to Wilmington, Delaware for the first time in PGA TOUR history, as we head to the South course at Wilmington Country Club for potential longshot BMW We hate touts. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. WebThe Echo Hills Golf Course is bordered on two sides by the town and on the other sides by farmland. Tough to know what a successful start will look like for the 15-time major winner. READ MORE: Back Shohei Ohtani, Japan in World Baseball Classic futures market. Big South Tournament Odds: UNC Asheville, Longwood Knotted Atop Betting Market. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+105) over Cameron Young (DraftKings) Fleetwood has a long history of success at Bay Hill and while Cam Young looked good in his first start at API, hes been one of the worst-performing wind players in the field. Justin Thomas enters play in the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational presented by Mastercard at Bay Hill Club & Lodge with +2500 odds to win after a 20th-place performance in The Genesis Invitational at Riviera CC February 16 - 19 in his last tournament.Thomas has one win, and an average finish of 20th, in his 20 events during the past year Since the start of the season, hes gaining 1.86 strokes per roundthird to only Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler. Playing in the Presidents Cup last September may have helped Conners further acclimate to the crowd atmosphere in store this week. Masters: Wanna play Augusta National? 2 Rory McIlroy at +1000. Build your customFanSided Daily email newsletter with news and analysis onAll Golf and all your favorite sports teams, TV shows, and more. But the hole I like best at Bay Hill is the par-4 eighth, a lovely dogleg-right with a diagonal green perched above a small circular pond. The intangible Im looking for from players inside the arena at TPC Scottsdale is an ability to perform in a high pressure atmosphere, and Steele has displayed poise in big moments, finishing top-15 at the PGA Championship and THE PLAYERS last season. Standing just under 7,500 yards, Bay Hill presents similar challenges we come to expect in a major championship venue. Up to $1,250 on Caesars. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. ESPN+. Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. Robby Shelton finished T21 as a heartbreaker for our Top 20 bet but we were strong in hitting Shane Lowry as a Top 10 and Lowry over Sungjae Im in a matchup. Bermuda: Russell Knox. Instead, McDonald is jumping on several severalunderdogs, including two MASSIVE longshots of well over 80-1! The expert also just missed a MASSIVE 130-1 score at the Sony Open when Hayden Buckley finished as runner-up. Top 40 Parlay: Chris Kirk and Tyrrell Hatton to both finish Top 40 (+179). As the Florida swing continues, the PGA Tour heads to Bay Hill Club and Lodge in Orlando for the Arnold Palmer Invitational, the third designated event in four weeks. MLB Odds: Braves 2B Ozzie Albies A Most Hits Longshot Candidate? Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). World No. Most of the games elite players opted out of the Honda, but they are back in a big way for the API. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. And which golfer in the Arnold Palmer Invitational 2023 field could bring a massive payday of well over 80-1? Lets get to our PGA TOUR golf sleepers and longshots for DFS lineups and betting cards. Ill always look Conners way at a ball-strikers course, as the Canadian ranks top-15 in both SG: OTT and SG: APP. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. In terms of DFS, this has proven to be a sticky week for course history. In his last five starts and first five tournaments on the PGA Tour in 2023, Rahm has three victories, a Top 3 and a T7 finish. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. Rick Gehman, data scientist and RickRunGood.com founder: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) For the first time this year, Zalatoris looks like himself again. The British Open will be played this week for the first time since 2019. You may not want to back the Merseysider in tournaments that will require you to score 20-under par, but this kind of set-up is right up his alley. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Hes appeared at this event each year since 2013, making the cut a perfect 10 times with four top-11 finishes over that stretch. Another week, another punt on Byeong-hun An. Jon Rahm and Scottie Scheffler have combined to win each of the first three elevated events of 2023. Best of luck if you choose to bet these PGA TOUR golf sleepers! (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images). McIlroy vs. Scheffler, a loaded LPGA field and more to watch in golf this week. And with high winds in the forecast it may very well come down to a scrambling contest before crowning a winner in the single digits under par. At Bay Hill, course history has proven more repeatable than just about any other course on the PGA TOUR schedule. Hoffman will assuredly not find himself on my outright card this week. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Bet with your head, not over it. Each of the two rivals had claimed the other was always stealing his ideas. Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Top-10 results from the Honda Classic: Mayo: 1 for 1 (Eric Cole +900); Hennessey: 1 for 1 (Chris Kirk +330); Everybody else: 0 for 1, Top-10 results from this season: Gdula: 7 for 17 (up 17.6 units); Mayo: 6 for 16 (up 12.1 units); Gehman: 5 for 17 (up 9.55 units); Lack: 3 for 8 (up 2.9 units); Hennessey: 4 for 17 (up 2.85 units); Powers: 2 for 17 (down 8.9 units); Caddie: 2 for 17 (down 8.95 units). The PGA Tour's best will be back at it this week at Bay Hill Club & Lodge near Orlando, Fla., for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. With the $20 million purse on the line, the field is once again loaded with defending champion Scottie Scheffler now joined by Jon Rahm, Rory McIlroy, Justin Thomas and 10 of the Top 11 players in the OWGR and 44 of the Top 50 players in the world. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. The greatest party in golf is here this week as we continue our handicapping of 2023 WM Phoenix Open odds, AKA Wasted Management, AKA The Peoples Open at TPC Scottsdale. World No. The odds leap from there as Max Homa (+2000), Collin Morikawa (+2100) and Will Zalatoris (+2100) round out the top-six. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. Lets get to our 2023 WM Phoenix Open longshots and sleepers for your DFS lineups and betting cards. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Breaking down the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational picks for this week at Bay Hill with our best bets, One and Done selection and more PGA Tour expert picks. The Twitter handle is a joke. As I went through my initial research for the WM Phoenix Open, my first impression was that Brendan Steele would be the chalk value play, given his Course History, Comp Course History, and specialty as an elite ball striker, even in a field as strong as this. Having missed only one cut over the last calendar year, Pendrith will be on my outright card and a core DFS play for me this week. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Honda: Chris Kirk. The Wake Forest connection with Arnold Palmer is obvious, but more so, hes very much like Rory in that hes a bomber who likes to move it from right to left. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. 2022 Farmers Insurance Open: Longshot of the week As mentioned before, major winners can be found throughout the field this week. He has the ball-striking to put together a strong showing at Bay Hill, and while the putter is still hit-or-miss, its not nearly as bad as it used to be. Phone (s): (541) 454-2000. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. I always thought the wrap-around-a-lake par-5 sixth was Dick Wilson's version of Robert Trent Jones's decade-older 13th at The Dunes Club at Myrtle Beach. For one thing, it's rather hilly, a rarity in Florida (although not in the Orlando market) and dotted with sinkhole ponds incorporated in the design in dramatic ways. 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